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Biel vs Bavois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Dzonlagic O.
90' Event
Chihadeh S.

AI Match Summary

Biel in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Biel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Biel
15%
Draws
0%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Biel have won more games recently than Bavois.
  • Model gives Biel a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Biel Clean Sheet 20%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biel Bavois
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.23 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Bavois
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Bavois
5:2
Oct 11, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Biel
3:2
May 11, 2025 Promotion League
Biel vs Bavois
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Biel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzonlagic O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chihadeh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Bavois Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biel 85 / 100
Bavois 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biel Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biel found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bavois lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Bavois has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Biel VS Bavois
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Biel

(Home)
03 Oct
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 2
Biel
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
19 Sept
Breitenrain
0 : 4
Biel
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
Page 1 of 6

Bavois

(Away)
10 Oct
Bavois
0 : 2
Amical Saint-Prex
03 Oct
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Bavois
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 11 8 1 2 29:13 25
3 Cham 11 7 1 3 19:14 22
4 Bulle 11 6 3 2 24:16 21
5 Paradiso 11 6 2 3 22:11 20
6 Young Fellows Juventus 11 6 1 4 16:14 19
7 Grand-Saconnex 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
8 Amical Saint-Prex 11 5 1 5 16:22 16
9 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
10 Zurich II 11 4 3 4 20:20 15
11 Breitenrain 11 4 3 4 15:17 15
12 Bruhl SG 11 4 2 5 13:15 14
13 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Young Boys II 11 3 2 6 21:30 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 11 2 2 7 10:14 8
17 Luzern II 11 2 1 8 15:27 7
18 Bellinzona 11 1 2 8 7:24 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)