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Biel vs Luzern II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Dzonlagic O.
23' Event
Meyer S.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Dzonlagic O.

AI Match Summary

Biel in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Biel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Biel
22%
Draws
18%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Biel lately — more wins on the board than Luzern II.
  • Win probability leans Biel's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Biel have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Biel Clean Sheet 15%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biel Luzern II
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Luzern II
4:2
Aug 30, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Biel
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Biel
2:3
Oct 20, 2024 Promotion League
Biel vs Luzern II
3:0
Nov 26, 2023 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Biel
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzonlagic O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vasic U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biel 57 / 100
Luzern II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biel Luzern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Biel scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Luzern II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Biel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Biel VS Luzern II
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Biel

(Home)
20 Jul
Biel
2 : 2
Breitenrain
18 Jul
Biel
1 : 1
Kriens
16 Jul
Besa Biel/Bienne
0 : 4
Biel
11 Jul
St Etienne
2 : 2
Biel
03 Jul
Biel
0 : 0
Yverdon
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Luzern II

(Away)
30 May
Luzern II
2 : 3
Bulle
23 May
Zurich II
2 : 3
Luzern II
16 May
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 2
Luzern II
09 May
Luzern II
2 : 2
Bruhl SG
02 May
Vevey
2 : 3
Luzern II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)