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Bihar vs Rajasthan FC

India India

Santosh Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bihar play Rajasthan FC in the Santosh Trophy 2023/2024. Rajasthan FC are favorites here. Recently, Bihar averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Rajasthan FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Bihar won 1, Rajasthan FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 10, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Bihar and 2.00 for Rajasthan FC. This points to a Rajasthan FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bihar
17%
Draws
56%
Rajasthan FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rajasthan FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Bihar picked up more points recently compared to Rajasthan FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bihar Clean Sheet 10%
Rajasthan FC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bihar Rajasthan FC
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Bihar vs Rajasthan FC
1:3
Jan 7, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Bihar vs Rajasthan FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bihar Compare

Top Goalscorer Soren R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Rajasthan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Poonia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bihar 26 / 100
Rajasthan FC 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bihar Rajasthan FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rajasthan FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rajasthan FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bihar attacking → ← attacking Rajasthan FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bihar scored in 39% of their last 18 games.

Rajasthan FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bihar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rajasthan FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Goa FT43105:210
2Kerala430112:29
3Gujarat42117:57
4Jammu Kashmir (J&K)41034:103
5Chhattisgarh40040:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delhi football team54106:113
2Punjab FT53029:29
3Odisha football team53028:39
4West Bengal FT52217:38
5Ladakh51042:173
6Haryana50140:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manipur550021:415
2Uttar Pradesh540112:912
3Tamilnadu521213:57
4Nagaland521213:97
5Madhya Pradesh50141:161
6Jharkhand50142:191
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Assam550020:015
2Railways540113:212
3Chandigarh53026:59
4Himachal Pradesh51136:164
5Rajasthan FC51136:174
6Bihar50051:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Services550021:315
2Mizoram540114:212
3Uttarakhand530211:69
4Pondicherry51134:214
5Sikkim FA51043:83
6DNHDD FT50143:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maharashtra550024:115
2Telangana52218:38
3Lakshadweep52217:68
4Tripura51224:65
5Andamans & Nicobar51133:164
6Andhra Pradesh50140:141