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Bijelo Brdo vs Zapresic

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2022/2023 Igralište BSK, Bijelo Brdo
Sat, Oct 15, 2022
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bijelo Brdo host Zapresic in the Prva NL 2022/2023. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Zapresic have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Bijelo Brdo have conceded 0.94 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Bijelo Brdo have won 1 to Zapresic's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.00, favoring Zapresic. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bijelo Brdo
15%
Draws
21%
Zapresic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bijelo Brdo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bijelo Brdo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bijelo Brdo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Prva NL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bijelo Brdo Clean Sheet 20%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bijelo Brdo Zapresic
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Zapresic
0:0
May 13, 2022 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Bijelo Brdo
4:2
Nov 21, 2021 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Zapresic
0:3
May 15, 2021 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Bijelo Brdo
2:1
Nov 29, 2020 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Zapresic
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bijelo Brdo 85 / 100
Zapresic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bijelo Brdo Zapresic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bijelo Brdo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bijelo Brdo scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Zapresic conceded in 68% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bijelo Brdo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bijelo Brdo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bijelo Brdo

(Home)
26 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
11 Sept
Opatija
2 : 3
Bijelo Brdo
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 7

Zapresic

(Away)
16 Aug
Segesta
3 : 0
Zapresic
14 Feb
NK Brezice
2 : 2
Zapresic
19 Oct
NK Nedelisce
3 : 0
Zapresic
28 May
Zapresic
0 : 1
Solin
22 May
Dinamo Zagreb 2
0 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 7 7 56:26 64
2 Vukovar 1991 33 17 12 4 57:25 63
3 Cibalia 33 13 15 5 37:26 54
4 Bijelo Brdo 33 12 8 13 41:37 44
5 Jarun 33 13 5 15 43:57 44
6 Orijent 33 10 13 10 45:45 43
7 Croatia Zmijavci 33 12 7 14 37:44 43
8 Solin 33 12 7 14 47:55 43
9 Dubrava Zagreb 33 11 9 13 38:39 42
10 Dugopolje 33 9 14 10 30:35 41
11 Kustosija 33 9 7 17 35:50 34
12 Dragovoljac 33 4 10 19 32:59 22
Promotion - HNL 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2023/2024 (Main)