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Bilina vs FK Jilove

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Ustecky KP 2025/2026 encounter between Bilina and FK Jilove promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Bilina averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. FK Jilove shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Bilina, 4 wins for FK Jilove, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.05.26 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.56 for Bilina and 1.75 for FK Jilove, suggesting the primary value lies in the Bilina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bilina
15%
Draws
33%
FK Jilove
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bilina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Bilina picked up more points recently compared to FK Jilove.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bilina Clean Sheet 12%
FK Jilove Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bilina FK Jilove
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

30.05.26 Ustecky KP
FK Jilove vs Bilina
3:1
08.11.25 Ustecky KP
Bilina vs FK Jilove
2:0
05.04.25 Ustecky KP
FK Jilove vs Bilina
1:0
07.09.24 Ustecky KP
Bilina vs FK Jilove
1:2
08.05.18 Ustecky KP
FK Jilove vs Bilina
1:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Bilina

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

FK Jilove

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bilina 49 / 100
FK Jilove 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bilina FK Jilove

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bilina or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Bilina 57%
FK Jilove 26%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Bilina 49%
FK Jilove 35%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Bilina 52%
FK Jilove 33%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Bilina 55%
FK Jilove 31%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Bilina 47%
FK Jilove 36%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Bilina 60%
FK Jilove 38%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bilina attacking → ← attacking FK Jilove

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bilina have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.

FK Jilove have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.

Bilina remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

FK Jilove suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 25
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25