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Billericay vs Aveley

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Aromolaran T.
40' Event
Peters O.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Cerulli A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Billericay and Aveley finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Billericay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Billericay
15%
Draws
32%
Aveley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Billericay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Billericay come out ahead of Aveley on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Billericay's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Billericay Clean Sheet 10%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Billericay Aveley
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.33 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Aveley
3:2
Dec 12, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Billericay
3:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Aveley vs Billericay
0:0
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Billericay vs Aveley
1:3
Dec 20, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Aveley
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerulli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Aromolaran T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay 38 / 100
Aveley 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Billericay Aveley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Billericay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Billericay scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Aveley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Billericay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Billericay VS Aveley
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Billericay

(Home)
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0
Torquay
19 Sept
Billericay
1 : 3
Enfield Town
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

Aveley

(Away)
25 Sept
Aveley
3 : 1
Ware
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)