Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Billericay vs Chatham

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Benton J.
17' Event
Merrifield F.
41' Event
Lewis-Burgess K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Billericay advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Billericay
20%
Draws
19%
Chatham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Billericay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Billericay come out ahead of Chatham on wins alone.
  • Billericay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Billericay have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Billericay, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Billericay Clean Sheet 12%
Chatham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Billericay Chatham
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 24 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.35 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Chatham
3:2
Jan 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Billericay
0:1
Nov 4, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Chatham
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Chatham
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Billericay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Benton J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merrifield F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Sene Richardson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moynes K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay 83 / 100
Chatham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Billericay Chatham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Billericay scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Billericay went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Chatham registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Billericay VS Chatham
2 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Billericay

(Home)
21 Jul
Dartford
0 : 3
Billericay
04 May
Billericay
2 : 1
Brentwood
29 Apr
Billericay
3 : 2
Chatham
25 Apr
Welling
2 : 2
Billericay
18 Apr
Billericay
2 : 0
Whitehawk
Page 1 of 7

Chatham

(Away)
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3
Maidstone
18 Jul
Chatham
1 : 2
Margate
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
04 Jul
Chatham
2 : 2
Slough Town
02 Jul
Chatham
3 : 0
Erith & Belvedere
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Billericay 3
Chatham 2
Aveley 1
Brentwood 4
Final
Billericay 2
Brentwood 1