Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Billericay vs Chatham

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Benton J.
17' Event
Merrifield F.
41' Event
Lewis-Burgess K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Billericay advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Billericay
20%
Draws
42%
Chatham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Billericay come out ahead of Chatham on wins alone.
  • Billericay are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Billericay have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Billericay, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Billericay Clean Sheet 10%
Chatham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Billericay Chatham
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.33 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Chatham
3:2
Jan 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Billericay
0:1
Nov 4, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Chatham
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Chatham
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Billericay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Benton J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merrifield F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Sene Richardson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moynes K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay 34 / 100
Chatham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Billericay Chatham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Billericay scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Billericay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Chatham has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Billericay VS Chatham
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Billericay

(Home)
19 Sept
Billericay
1 : 3
Enfield Town
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
05 Sept
Billericay
3 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
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Chatham

(Away)
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
31 Aug
Dartford
1 : 0
Chatham
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Billericay 3
Chatham 2
Aveley 1
Brentwood 4
Final
Billericay 2
Brentwood 1