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Billericay vs Hemel Hempstead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Clark T.
45' Event
Lomas L.
52' Event
Benton J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Billericay and Hemel Hempstead finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Billericay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Billericay
30%
Draws
12%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Billericay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Billericay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Billericay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Billericay Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Billericay Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National League South
Billericay vs Hemel Hempstead
5:0
Feb 5, 2022 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Billericay
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 National League South
Billericay vs Hemel Hempstead
2:3
Apr 2, 2021 National League South
Billericay vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Nov 3, 2020 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Billericay
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hemel Hempstead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay 85 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Billericay Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Billericay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Billericay's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hemel Hempstead conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Billericay stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Billericay VS Hemel Hempstead
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Billericay

(Home)
31 Oct
Billericay
5 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
27 Oct
Billericay
2 : 2
Hampton & Richmond
10 Oct
Billericay
4 : 0
Farnborough
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0
Torquay
19 Sept
Billericay
1 : 3
Enfield Town
Page 1 of 6

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
31 Oct
Billericay
5 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
27 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Hemel Hempstead
24 Oct
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3
AFC Totton
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)