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Billericay vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Ruff C.
72' Event
Collis T.
88' Event
Merrifield F.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Billericay and Lewes finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Billericay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Billericay
20%
Draws
19%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Billericay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Billericay come out ahead of Lewes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Billericay a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Billericay have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Billericay Clean Sheet 20%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Billericay Lewes
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 22 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Billericay
0:3
Jan 31, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Lewes
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Lewes
4:2
Oct 12, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Billericay
2:2
Feb 6, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Billericay
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruff C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Collis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lewes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay 76 / 100
Lewes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Billericay Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Billericay found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Billericay went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lewes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Billericay VS Lewes
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Billericay

(Home)
21 Jul
Dartford
0 : 3
Billericay
04 May
Billericay
2 : 1
Brentwood
29 Apr
Billericay
3 : 2
Chatham
25 Apr
Welling
2 : 2
Billericay
18 Apr
Billericay
2 : 0
Whitehawk
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Lewes

(Away)
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
18 Jul
Lewes
2 : 1
Hastings
25 Apr
Chatham
2 : 1
Lewes
18 Apr
Lewes
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
11 Apr
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0
Lewes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)