Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2023/2024

Stowmarket Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Billericay play Stowmarket Town in the FA Cup 2023/2024. Billericay are favorites here. Recently, Billericay averaged 2.35 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Stowmarket Town averaged 0.92 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Billericay won 1, Stowmarket Town won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 2, 2023 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Billericay and 0.75 for Stowmarket Town. This points to a Billericay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Billericay

15%

Draws

26%

Stowmarket Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Billericay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Billericay picked up more points recently compared to Stowmarket Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Billericay Clean Sheet 27%

Stowmarket Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Billericay	Stowmarket Town
Matches Played	31	12
Wins	23	5
Draws	4	1
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	2.35	0.92
Goals Conceded	0.97	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 FA Cup

Billericay vs Stowmarket Town

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay 59 / 100

Stowmarket Town 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Billericay Stowmarket Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Billericay Win (1)

Secondary Pick Billericay & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Billericay attacking → ← attacking Stowmarket Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Billericay scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Stowmarket Town let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Billericay went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Stowmarket Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 16

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00