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Billericay vs Tonbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Benton J.
25' Event
Brown J.
40' Event
Long E.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Billericay and Tonbridge finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Billericay
20%
Draws
23%
Tonbridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Billericay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Billericay come out ahead of Tonbridge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Billericay's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Billericay Clean Sheet 10%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Billericay Tonbridge
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.33 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League South
Billericay vs Tonbridge
2:2
Feb 26, 2022 National League South
Tonbridge vs Billericay
2:0
Oct 23, 2021 National League South
Billericay vs Tonbridge
0:1
Mar 16, 2021 National League South
Tonbridge vs Billericay
0:0
Oct 6, 2020 National League South
Billericay vs Tonbridge
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Benton J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Long E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tonbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Billericay 65 / 100
Tonbridge 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Billericay Tonbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Billericay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Billericay's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tonbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Billericay has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Billericay VS Tonbridge
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Billericay

(Home)
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0
Torquay
19 Sept
Billericay
1 : 3
Enfield Town
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

Tonbridge

(Away)
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Torquay
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Ramsgate
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
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