Sport Picks

Belgium

Belgian Cup Women

Mons W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bilzen United W play Mons W in the Belgian Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bilzen United W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Mons W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Bilzen United W won 3, Mons W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Bilzen United W and 1.31 for Mons W. This points to a Bilzen United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Bilzen United W

15%

Draws

31%

Mons W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bilzen United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Bilzen United W picked up more points recently compared to Mons W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Bilzen United W Clean Sheet 18%

Mons W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bilzen United W	Mons W
Matches Played	26	28
Wins	13	10
Draws	4	4
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	2	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.62	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 1st National Women

Mons W vs Bilzen United W

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Nov 22, 2025 1st National Women

Bilzen United W vs Mons W

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Nov 1, 2025 Belgian Cup Women

Bilzen United W vs Mons W

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bilzen United W 52 / 100

Mons W 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bilzen United W Mons W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bilzen United W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Bilzen United W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bilzen United W attacking → ← attacking Mons W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bilzen United W scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Mons W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bilzen United W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mons W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 34

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00