Sport Picks
Binacional vs FBC Melgar
Peru
Liga 1 2025 Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina 
AI Match Summary
Binacional play FBC Melgar in the Liga 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Binacional averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. FBC Melgar averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Binacional won 0, FBC Melgar won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 12, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Binacional and 1.81 for FBC Melgar. This points to a FBC Melgar double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Binacional picked up more points recently compared to FBC Melgar.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binacional | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Binacional Compare
FBC Melgar Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Binacional scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
FBC Melgar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Binacional went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
FBC Melgar lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 38:12 | 39 |
| 2 | A. Lima | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 23:11 | 37 |
| 3 | Cusco | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 34:20 | 34 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28:18 | 34 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 32 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23:21 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 9 | AD Tarma | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:30 | 24 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 23 |
| 11 | Los Chankas | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24:25 | 23 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:24 | 22 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 26:28 | 20 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:28 | 19 |
| 15 | Cajamarca | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17:34 | 19 |
| 16 | Binacional | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14:27 | 15 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17:31 | 11 |
| 19 | Alianza Huanuco | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16:33 | 11 |