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Binefar vs Borja Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Montesinos J.

AI Match Summary

Borja in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Binefar
15%
Draws
0%
Borja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binefar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Binefar lately — more wins on the board than Borja.
  • Model gives Binefar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Binefar Clean Sheet 68%
Borja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binefar Borja
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.83 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Borja
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Binefar
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Binefar
0:4
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Borja
1:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Borja
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binefar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Borja Compare

Top Goalscorer Montesinos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binefar 86 / 100
Borja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binefar Borja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binefar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binefar scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Away concern: Borja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Borja conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Binefar VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binefar

(Home)
27 Sept
Binefar
2 : 2
CD Caspe
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
Page 1 of 8

Borja

(Away)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)