Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
De Mesa Garrido A.
50'
50'
De Mesa Garrido A.
59'
59'
Ibanez I.
AI Match Summary
Binefar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binefar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Binefar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Binefar lately — more wins on the board than CD Carinena.
- Binefar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Binefar Clean Sheet 19%
CD Carinena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binefar | CD Carinena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 16 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs CD Carinena
4:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Binefar
0:3
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs CD Carinena
2:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Binefar
2:1
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs CD Carinena
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Binefar Compare
Top Goalscorer De Mesa Garrido A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Ciruela R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
CD Carinena Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibanez I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caicedo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Binefar 58 / 100
CD Carinena 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Binefar CD Carinena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Binefar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Binefar scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
CD Carinena let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Binefar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Binefar VS CD Carinena
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Binefar
(Home) 13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3 Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0 Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4 Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3 Binefar
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0 Utrillas
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3 Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0 Porreres
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0 Utrillas
19 Apr
Binefar
1 : 2 Atletico Monzon
03 Apr
Binefar
4 : 2 CD Carinena
Page 1 of 3
CD Carinena
(Away) 10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1 Calamocha
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1 CD Carinena
26 Apr
CD Carinena
1 : 1 CD Cuarte
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1 CD Carinena
12 Apr
CD Carinena
2 : 2 CD Caspe
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1 CD Carinena
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1 CD Carinena
03 Apr
Binefar
4 : 2 CD Carinena
22 Mar
Zuera
2 : 1 CD Carinena
08 Mar
Epila
2 : 2 CD Carinena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calamocha | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 49:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Cuarte | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 43:12 | 74 |
| 3 | Atletico Monzon | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73:37 | 73 |
| 4 | Epila | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 39:20 | 67 |
| 5 | CD Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 38:26 | 53 |
| 6 | Huesca B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:33 | 52 |
| 7 | Binefar | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 58:47 | 48 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:38 | 47 |
| 9 | Almudevar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Tamarite | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:47 | 41 |
| 11 | Andorra CF | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:45 | 39 |
| 12 | CF Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Robres | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:49 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28:43 | 32 |
| 15 | CD Carinena | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 35:46 | 31 |
| 16 | UD Casetas | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 17 | Utrillas | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 36:57 | 29 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 17:65 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
