Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Binga vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Binga Logo

Binga

0 - 1
FT
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Binga and Bougouba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Binga
20%
Draws
51%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binga come out ahead of Bougouba on wins alone.
  • Binga are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Binga Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binga Bougouba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs Bougouba
0:1
Jan 23, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Binga
0:3
Mar 8, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Binga
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs Bougouba
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs Bougouba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binga 77 / 100
Bougouba 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binga Bougouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binga's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bougouba conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Binga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binga VS Bougouba
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Binga

(Home)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
24 May
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Binga
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Bougouba

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)