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Binga vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Binga and Bougouba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Binga
17%
Draws
13%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Binga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binga come out ahead of Bougouba on wins alone.
  • Binga are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Binga Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binga Bougouba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs Bougouba
0:1
Jan 23, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Binga
0:3
Mar 8, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Binga
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs Bougouba
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs Bougouba
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binga 77 / 100
Bougouba 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binga Bougouba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binga's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bougouba conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Binga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binga VS Bougouba
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316