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Binga vs Real Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Binga Logo

Binga

1 - 0
FT
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Binga and Real Bamako finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Binga
30%
Draws
51%
Real Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Bamako carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Bamako's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Binga Clean Sheet 28%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binga Real Bamako
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs Real Bamako
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Binga
0:1
May 9, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Binga
1:2
Jan 15, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs Real Bamako
1:2
May 5, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs Real Bamako
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binga 30 / 100
Real Bamako 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binga Real Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Binga scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Real Bamako's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Binga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binga VS Real Bamako
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binga

(Home)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
24 May
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Binga
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Real Bamako

(Away)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)