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Binga vs US Bougouni

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

US Bougouni in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored US Bougouni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Binga
15%
Draws
36%
US Bougouni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • US Bougouni haven't matched Binga's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Binga taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Binga Clean Sheet 68%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binga US Bougouni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs US Bougouni
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Binga
0:1
Mar 25, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Binga
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs US Bougouni
0:0
Feb 9, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs US Bougouni
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binga 95 / 100
US Bougouni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binga US Bougouni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Binga scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

US Bougouni has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

US Bougouni lost 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Binga VS US Bougouni
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Binga

(Home)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
24 May
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Binga
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US Bougouni

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)