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Binga vs USFAS Bamako - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Diakite M.
72' Event
Diakite M.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Binga and USFAS Bamako finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Binga
20%
Draws
51%
USFAS Bamako
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USFAS Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • USFAS Bamako carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Binga Clean Sheet 20%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binga USFAS Bamako
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs USFAS Bamako
2:0
Mar 18, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Binga
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs USFAS Bamako
1:2
May 25, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs USFAS Bamako
5:2
Feb 1, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Binga
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binga Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakite M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

USFAS Bamako Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binga 32 / 100
USFAS Bamako 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binga USFAS Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Binga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

USFAS Bamako's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Binga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binga VS USFAS Bamako
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Binga

(Home)
01 Nov
Binga
2 : 0
USFAS Bamako
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
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USFAS Bamako

(Away)
01 Nov
Binga
2 : 0
USFAS Bamako
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Binga 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Derby Academie 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Bakaridjan 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Stade Malien 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Djoliba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Onze Createurs 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Bougouba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Diarra 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 AS Kayes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 CS Bamako 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Korofina 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
12 Foot Elite 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Real Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 USFAS Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)