Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Binh Duong vs Gia Lai

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Go Dau Stadium, Thủ Dầu Một
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bui Vi Hao
12'
Nguyen Van Trieu
27'
Sub
Gabriel Conceicao In: Luong Thanh Ngoc Lam
Out: Gabriel Conceicao

AI Match Summary

Binh Duong in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binh Duong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Binh Duong
15%
Draws
16%
Gia Lai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Binh Duong lately — more wins on the board than Gia Lai.
  • Binh Duong are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 18%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binh Duong Gia Lai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Gia Lai
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Binh Duong
0:3
Apr 6, 2025 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Binh Duong
4:0
Dec 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Gia Lai vs Binh Duong
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Gia Lai
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Bui Vi Hao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Tran Viet Cuong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gia Lai Compare

Top Goalscorer Tran G. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binh Duong 85 / 100
Gia Lai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binh Duong Gia Lai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binh Duong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Gia Lai conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Binh Duong went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binh Duong VS Gia Lai
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Binh Duong

(Home)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
13 Sept
Van Hien
0 : 0
Binh Duong
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
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Gia Lai

(Away)
20 Sept
Gia Lai
2 : 3
Hung Yen
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
07 Jun
Binh Duong
3 : 1
Gia Lai
31 May
Gia Lai
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)