Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Binh Duong vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Go Dau Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Binh Duong play Phu Dong Ninh Binh in the V.League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Binh Duong averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Phu Dong Ninh Binh averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Binh Duong won 1, Phu Dong Ninh Binh won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Binh Duong and 2.00 for Phu Dong Ninh Binh. This points to a Phu Dong Ninh Binh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Binh Duong
24%
Draws
50%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Binh Duong picked up more points recently compared to Phu Dong Ninh Binh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 10%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binh Duong Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.23 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Binh Duong
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Binh Duong vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ho Tan Tai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Van Thuan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binh Duong 25 / 100
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binh Duong Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Phu Dong Ninh Binh or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Binh Duong attacking → ← attacking Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Phu Dong Ninh Binh let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Binh Duong went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Phu Dong Ninh Binh lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 60
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324