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Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Go Dau Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Ho Khac Ngoc
32'
Ngo Van Luong
46'
Sub
Fortes C. In: Tran Manh Quynh
Out: Fortes C.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 game between Binh Duong and Song Lam Nghe An finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Song Lam Nghe An.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Binh Duong
22%
Draws
18%
Song Lam Nghe An
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Song Lam Nghe An come out ahead of Binh Duong on wins alone.
  • Model gives Binh Duong a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Song Lam Nghe An have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 16%
Song Lam Nghe An Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binh Duong Song Lam Nghe An
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong
2:1
Jun 26, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An
2:1
Jan 23, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binh Duong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Song Lam Nghe An Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngo Van Luong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binh Duong 57 / 100
Song Lam Nghe An 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binh Duong Song Lam Nghe An

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Song Lam Nghe An conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Song Lam Nghe An registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binh Duong VS Song Lam Nghe An
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324