Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Binh Duong vs Thanh Hoa

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Go Dau Stadium, Thủ Dầu Một
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ngo Tung Quoc
16' Event
Nguyen Ngoc My
19'
Sub
Zlatkovic M. In: Le Minh Binh
Out: Zlatkovic M.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Binh Duong and Thanh Hoa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Binh Duong
15%
Draws
16%
Thanh Hoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Binh Duong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Binh Duong are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 19%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binh Duong Thanh Hoa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong
0:2
May 2, 2026 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Thanh Hoa
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Thanh Hoa
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngo Tung Quoc
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Thanh Hoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Ngoc My
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binh Duong 85 / 100
Thanh Hoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binh Duong Thanh Hoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binh Duong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Thanh Hoa conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Binh Duong stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Binh Duong VS Thanh Hoa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Binh Duong

(Home)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
13 Sept
Van Hien
0 : 0
Binh Duong
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
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Thanh Hoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)