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Binissalem vs Cardassar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fernandez Broens A.
33' Event
Binimelis A.
38' Event
Alvarez Crego A.

AI Match Summary

Cardassar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Binissalem
20%
Draws
57%
Cardassar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Binissalem have won more games recently than Cardassar.
  • Win probability leans Cardassar's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 19%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Cardassar
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.91 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Cardassar
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Binissalem
2:4
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Cardassar
1:1
May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Cardassar
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Binissalem
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binissalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Valles A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Broens A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Binimelis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 24 / 100
Cardassar 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Cardassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binissalem found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).

Cardassar let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Binissalem remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS Cardassar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
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Cardassar

(Away)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcudia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 SD Ibiza 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 PE Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 Manacor 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Constancia 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
6 Formentera 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Mercadal 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
8 Cardassar 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Llosetense 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
10 Porreres 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11 Andratx 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Santanyi 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Platges de Calvia 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Binissalem 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Migjorn 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
16 Sineu 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
17 Arenal 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
18 Inter Ibiza 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)