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Binissalem vs Genova

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Binissalem and Genova finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Binissalem
35%
Draws
32%
Genova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binissalem come out ahead of Genova on wins alone.
  • Binissalem are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 68%
Genova Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Genova
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Genova
2:2
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Binissalem
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 50 / 100
Genova 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Genova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Binissalem found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Binissalem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0
Binissalem
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Genova

(Away)
20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0
Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2
Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1
Genova
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