Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Binissalem vs Manacor

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Rubio N.

AI Match Summary

Manacor in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Binissalem
35%
Draws
30%
Manacor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Binissalem haven't matched Manacor's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 68%
Manacor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Manacor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.73 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Manacor
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Binissalem
1:0
May 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Binissalem
2:3
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Manacor
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Manacor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binissalem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 41 / 100
Manacor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Manacor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Binissalem stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Binissalem scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS Manacor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0
Binissalem
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

Manacor

(Away)
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
09 May
Manacor
1 : 1
Mallorca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)