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Binissalem vs Platges de Calvia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bueno
Penalty Missed
33' Event
Flaque Mccrae A. N.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Josemi

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Binissalem and Platges de Calvia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Platges de Calvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Binissalem
15%
Draws
64%
Platges de Calvia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Platges de Calvia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Platges de Calvia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 15%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Platges de Calvia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Platges de Calvia
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Binissalem
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Platges de Calvia
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Binissalem
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Platges de Calvia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binissalem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Josemi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 15 / 100
Platges de Calvia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Platges de Calvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platges de Calvia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Binissalem scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Binissalem remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS Platges de Calvia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
03 Oct
Binissalem
3 : 0
Sineu
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
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Platges de Calvia

(Away)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)