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Birkebeineren vs Larvik Turn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larvik Turn in this Division 3 - Group 4 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larvik Turn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Birkebeineren
15%
Draws
85%
Larvik Turn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larvik Turn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Birkebeineren haven't matched Larvik Turn's recent run of results.
  • Larvik Turn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Birkebeineren Clean Sheet 10%
Larvik Turn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkebeineren Larvik Turn
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 26 16
Goals Scored 0.97 2.07
Goals Conceded 4.77 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Birkebeineren vs Larvik Turn
1:5
Jun 20, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Larvik Turn vs Birkebeineren
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkebeineren 10 / 100
Larvik Turn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkebeineren Larvik Turn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larvik Turn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larvik Turn let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Birkebeineren's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Larvik Turn has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Birkebeineren VS Larvik Turn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
4.88 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkebeineren

(Home)
24 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Eik-Tonsberg
17 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
7 : 0
Birkebeineren
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
05 Oct
Fagerborg
6 : 1
Birkebeineren
25 Sept
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Vestfossen
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Larvik Turn

(Away)
24 Oct
Vestfossen
5 : 1
Larvik Turn
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
03 Oct
Larvik Turn
0 : 7
Lommedalen
28 Sept
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Larvik Turn
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