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Birkebeineren vs Vestfossen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vestfossen in this Division 3 - Group 4 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vestfossen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Birkebeineren
15%
Draws
85%
Vestfossen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vestfossen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vestfossen lately — more wins on the board than Birkebeineren.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vestfossen taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Birkebeineren Clean Sheet 20%
Vestfossen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkebeineren Vestfossen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 26 20
Goals Scored 0.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 4.77 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Birkebeineren vs Vestfossen
1:4
Jun 4, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Birkebeineren
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkebeineren 10 / 100
Vestfossen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkebeineren Vestfossen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vestfossen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestfossen has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Birkebeineren's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Vestfossen has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vestfossen
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkebeineren

(Home)
24 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Eik-Tonsberg
17 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
7 : 0
Birkebeineren
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
05 Oct
Fagerborg
6 : 1
Birkebeineren
25 Sept
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Vestfossen
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Vestfossen

(Away)
13 Aug
Vestfossen
1 : 5
Mjondalen
25 Jul
Vestfossen
1 : 3
Moss
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Brann 2
5 : 1
Vestfossen
12 Oct
Vestfossen
2 : 4
Sogndal 2
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