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Birkenhead vs Central United

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Birkenhead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Birkenhead
15%
Draws
42%
Central United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Birkenhead have managed 2.27 goals a game lately — Central United are scoring more at 2.59.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 19%
Central United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkenhead Central United
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 20 20
Draws 3 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.27 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2015 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Central United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkenhead 36 / 100
Central United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkenhead Central United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birkenhead scored in 92% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Central United conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Birkenhead stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Birkenhead VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkenhead

(Home)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0
Christchurch
Page 1 of 8

Central United

(Away)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cashmere Technical 3
Coastal Spirit 1
Tauranga 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 6
Mosgiel 1
Mangere United 3
Papakura City 1
Birkenhead 2
East Coast 0
Central United 2
Three Kings 0
Wairarapa United 2
Western Suburbs 7
Wellington Olympic 3
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Cashmere Technical 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 1
Mangere United 2
Birkenhead 3
Central United 0
Western Suburbs 0
Napier City 3
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs 4
Mangere United 0
Birkenhead 1
Napier City 2
Final
Eastern Suburbs 2
Napier City 1