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Birkenhead vs East Coast

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Birkenhead in this Chatham Cup 2015 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Birkenhead
15%
Draws
33%
East Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Birkenhead have won more games recently than East Coast.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Birkenhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 20%
East Coast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkenhead East Coast
Matches Played 32 4
Wins 17 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 2.28 2
Goals Conceded 1.97 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2016 Chatham Cup
East Coast vs Birkenhead
3:5
Jul 12, 2015 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs East Coast
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkenhead 32 / 100
East Coast 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkenhead East Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birkenhead scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

East Coast's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

East Coast lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Birkenhead VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkenhead

(Home)
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4
Cashmere Technical
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
Page 1 of 7

East Coast

(Away)
05 Aug
Nelson Suburbs FC
1 : 0
East Coast
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
16 Jul
East Coast
3 : 5
Birkenhead
12 Jul
Birkenhead
2 : 0
East Coast

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cashmere Technical 3
Coastal Spirit 1
Tauranga 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 6
Mosgiel 1
Mangere United 3
Papakura City 1
Birkenhead 2
East Coast 0
Central United 2
Three Kings 0
Wairarapa United 2
Western Suburbs 7
Wellington Olympic 3
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Cashmere Technical 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 1
Mangere United 2
Birkenhead 3
Central United 0
Western Suburbs 0
Napier City 3
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs 4
Mangere United 0
Birkenhead 1
Napier City 2
Final
Eastern Suburbs 2
Napier City 1