Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Eastern Suburbs in this Chatham Cup 2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Birkenhead lately — more wins on the board than Eastern Suburbs.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Birkenhead taking it.
- Birkenhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Eastern Suburbs, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Eastern Suburbs here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birkenhead | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 10, 2024 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Birkenhead
2:2
Jul 9, 2023 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2
Jul 20, 2022 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Eastern Suburbs
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birkenhead 36 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birkenhead Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birkenhead scored in 90% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Eastern Suburbs conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Birkenhead stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Birkenhead VS Eastern Suburbs
2.38 Goals Scored 1.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Birkenhead
(Home) 07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3 Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4 Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2 Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Christchurch
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07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4 Miramar
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Christchurch
26 Oct
Birkenhead
2 : 4 Wellington Olympic
05 Oct
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Auckland City
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Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
02 Nov
Coastal Spirit
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Oct
Wellington Olympic
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 0
Melville 2
Western Springs 3
Auckland City 2
Roslyn Wakari 4
Wanaka FC 3
Napier City 0
Waterside Karori 3
Hamilton 3
Ngaruawahia AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 0
Christchurch 3
Petone 0
Wellington Olympic 5
Birkenhead 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Quarter-finals
Melville 1
Western Springs 0
Roslyn Wakari 2
Waterside Karori 5
Hamilton 0
Christchurch 3
Wellington Olympic 2
Eastern Suburbs 3
Semi-finals
Melville 3
Waterside Karori 1
Christchurch 2
Eastern Suburbs 1
Final
Melville 2
Christchurch 3
