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Birkenhead vs Miramar

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Shepherds Park, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Bates I.
45' Event
Bobadilla N.
52' Event
Smith O.

AI Match Summary

Miramar in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Birkenhead
15%
Draws
42%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Miramar haven't matched Birkenhead's recent run of results.
  • Miramar are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).
  • Birkenhead have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 10%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkenhead Miramar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 National League
Birkenhead vs Miramar
1:4
Oct 8, 2022 National League
Miramar vs Birkenhead
2:4
Aug 28, 2016 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Miramar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birkenhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Bates I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobadilla N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkenhead 14 / 100
Miramar 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkenhead Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birkenhead found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Miramar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Birkenhead has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Birkenhead VS Miramar
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkenhead

(Home)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0
Christchurch
Page 1 of 7

Miramar

(Away)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 10 7 0 3 23:14 21
2 Auckland City 10 6 2 2 19:14 20
3 Miramar 10 6 1 3 25:14 19
4 Auckland FC 2 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Western Springs 10 5 1 4 16:13 16
6 Birkenhead 10 5 0 5 20:21 15
7 Christchurch 10 4 2 4 16:19 14
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 10 3 1 6 18:21 10
9 Western Suburbs 10 3 1 6 19:21 10
10 Auckland United 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
11 Coastal Spirit 10 2 1 7 5:23 7
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)