Sport Picks
Birkenhead vs Western Springs
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 2018 
AI Match Summary
Birkenhead in this Chatham Cup 2018 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Birkenhead have won more games recently than Western Springs.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Birkenhead taking it.
- Birkenhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
- Birkenhead have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 10%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birkenhead | Western Springs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 43 | 25 |
| Wins | 25 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 2.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2025 National League
Birkenhead vs Western Springs
3:1
Oct 12, 2024 National League
Western Springs vs Birkenhead
1:3
Jul 6, 2024 Chatham Cup
Western Springs vs Birkenhead
3:4
Jul 15, 2018 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Western Springs
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birkenhead 38 / 100
Western Springs 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birkenhead Western Springs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Birkenhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birkenhead scored in 93% of their last 43 games.
Western Springs let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.
H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Birkenhead stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Birkenhead VS Western Springs
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Birkenhead
(Home) 07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3 Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4 Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2 Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Christchurch
Page 1 of 9
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4 Miramar
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Christchurch
26 Oct
Birkenhead
2 : 4 Wellington Olympic
05 Oct
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Auckland City
Page 1 of 4
Western Springs
(Away) 07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3 Auckland City
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0 Western Springs
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
01 Nov
Miramar
1 : 2 Western Springs
Page 1 of 5
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0 Western Springs
01 Nov
Miramar
1 : 2 Western Springs
18 Oct
Christchurch
1 : 2 Western Springs
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Western Springs
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Manukau United 3
Mt Albert Ponsonby 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Roslyn Wakari 0
Melville 1
Onehunga 3
North Wellington 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 2
Stop Out SC 1
Birkenhead 4
Western Springs 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Green Island AFC 0
Central United 0
East Coast 5
Quarter-finals
Manukau United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Onehunga 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 1
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
East Coast 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 2
Western Suburbs 3
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Final
Western Suburbs 1
Birkenhead 2
