Sport Picks
Birkenhead vs Western Suburbs
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 2018 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Birkenhead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Birkenhead come out ahead of Western Suburbs on wins alone.
- Model gives Birkenhead a 59% chance of winning this.
- Birkenhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 10%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birkenhead | Western Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 2.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2025 National League
Western Suburbs vs Birkenhead
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 National League
Birkenhead vs Western Suburbs
3:3
Sep 9, 2018 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Western Suburbs
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birkenhead 83 / 100
Western Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birkenhead Western Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Birkenhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Birkenhead scored in 90% of their last 40 outings.
Western Suburbs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Recent resilience: Birkenhead stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Birkenhead VS Western Suburbs
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Birkenhead
(Home) 07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3 Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4 Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2 Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Christchurch
Page 1 of 8
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1 Western Springs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4 Miramar
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Christchurch
26 Oct
Birkenhead
2 : 4 Wellington Olympic
05 Oct
Birkenhead
3 : 0 Auckland City
Page 1 of 4
Western Suburbs
(Away) 07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7 Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1 Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0 Auckland United
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1 Western Suburbs
09 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 1 Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 6
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1 Western Suburbs
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1 Western Suburbs
31 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 0 Western Suburbs
11 Oct
Auckland City
3 : 2 Western Suburbs
27 Sept
Western Springs
3 : 0 Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Manukau United 3
Mt Albert Ponsonby 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Roslyn Wakari 0
Melville 1
Onehunga 3
North Wellington 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 2
Stop Out SC 1
Birkenhead 4
Western Springs 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Green Island AFC 0
Central United 0
East Coast 5
Quarter-finals
Manukau United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Onehunga 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 1
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
East Coast 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 2
Western Suburbs 3
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Final
Western Suburbs 1
Birkenhead 2
