Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Protective Stadium

FC Tulsa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Birmingham Legion play FC Tulsa in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Birmingham Legion averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. FC Tulsa averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Birmingham Legion won 3, FC Tulsa won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 7, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Birmingham Legion and 1.13 for FC Tulsa. This points to a FC Tulsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Birmingham Legion

35%

Draws

38%

FC Tulsa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Tulsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Birmingham Legion picked up more points recently compared to FC Tulsa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 21%

FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Birmingham Legion	FC Tulsa
Matches Played	27	32
Wins	5	15
Draws	12	8
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.22	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.41	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship

FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jun 1, 2025 USL Cup

FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

May 4, 2024 USL Championship

Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Aug 24, 2023 USL Championship

FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Mar 18, 2023 USL Championship

Birmingham Legion vs FC Tulsa

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham Legion 29 / 100

FC Tulsa 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Birmingham Legion FC Tulsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Tulsa or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Birmingham Legion attacking → ← attacking FC Tulsa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham Legion scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

FC Tulsa let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Birmingham Legion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Tulsa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 53

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacramento Republic	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Spokane Velocity	3	2	1	3:5	6
3	Athletic Club Boise	3	2	1	7:6	5
4	Oakland Roots	3	1	2	3:3	4
5	Monterey Bay	3	1	2	6:7	3
6	Las Vegas Lights	3	0	3	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado Springs	3	3	0	7:1	9
2	El Paso Locomotive	3	2	1	5:3	6
3	New Mexico	3	2	1	6:5	6
4	AV Alta FC	3	1	2	3:5	3
5	Phoenix Rising	3	1	2	2:6	3
6	Orange County SC	3	0	3	3:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Antonio FC	3	3	0	4:1	8
2	Birmingham Legion	3	2	1	5:2	6
3	One Knoxville	3	2	1	4:3	4
4	FC Tulsa	3	1	2	3:4	4
5	Corpus Christi FC	3	1	2	1:4	3
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3	0	3	2:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	3	3	0	9:2	8
2	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	7:4	7
3	Lexington	3	2	1	6:4	6
4	Union Omaha	3	2	1	7:8	6
5	Detroit City	3	1	2	2:3	5
6	Fort Wayne	3	0	3	5:10	1
7	Forward Madison	3	0	3	2:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Hartford Athletic	3	2	1	6:2	7
2	Brooklyn FC	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Rhode Island	3	2	1	5:2	5
4	Portland Hearts of Pine	3	1	2	5:9	4
5	New York Cosmos	3	1	2	4:9	3
6	Westchester SC	3	1	2	5:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Charleston	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Charlotte Independence	3	3	0	5:2	8
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3	1	2	4:3	5
4	Loudoun United	3	1	2	4:5	3
5	Greenville Triumph	3	1	2	3:5	3
6	Richmond Kickers	3	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	3	3	0	8:1	9
2	Miami FC	3	2	1	6:5	6
3	Sporting Jax	4	1	3	3:5	4
4	Sarasota Paradise	3	1	2	2:4	3
5	FC Naples	3	1	2	3:7	2