Sport Picks
Birmingham Legion vs Charleston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL 
Match Events
11'
11'
Tregarthen S.
14'
14'
Berry M.
18'
18'
Williams R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Charleston have won more games recently than Birmingham Legion.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Charleston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birmingham Legion | Charleston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Charleston
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Birmingham Legion
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Birmingham Legion
2:1
Jul 3, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Charleston
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Birmingham Legion
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Tregarthen S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Berry M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birmingham Legion 34 / 100
Charleston 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birmingham Legion Charleston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birmingham Legion's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Charleston has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Birmingham Legion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Birmingham Legion VS Charleston
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Birmingham Legion
(Home) 03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
Charleston
(Away) 26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
15 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Charleston
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 Charleston
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
