Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven

USA USA

USL Championship Protective Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Birmingham Legion play Indy Eleven in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Birmingham Legion averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Indy Eleven averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Birmingham Legion won 0, Indy Eleven won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Birmingham Legion and 1.38 for Indy Eleven. This points to a Indy Eleven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Birmingham Legion
29%
Draws
47%
Indy Eleven
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Birmingham Legion picked up more points recently compared to Indy Eleven.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 17%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham Legion Indy Eleven
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 USL Cup
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
2:1
Jun 5, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer McIllhatton S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Indy Eleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Kizza E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Brien J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham Legion 25 / 100
Indy Eleven 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham Legion Indy Eleven

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Indy Eleven or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Birmingham Legion attacking → ← attacking Indy Eleven

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham Legion scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Indy Eleven let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Birmingham Legion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Indy Eleven lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215