Sport Picks
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights
USA
USL Championship Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL 
Match Events
15'
15'
Anderson O.
45'
45'
Rodriguez J.
Penalty Missed
46'
46'
Sub
McCartney D. In: Daley A.
Out: McCartney D.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Birmingham Legion and Las Vegas Lights finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Vegas Lights.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Birmingham Legion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Las Vegas Lights come out ahead of Birmingham Legion on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 12%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birmingham Legion | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights
0:3
Jul 9, 2023 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Birmingham Legion
3:3
May 19, 2022 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Saucedo S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Anderson O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birmingham Legion 29 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birmingham Legion Las Vegas Lights
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Birmingham Legion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birmingham Legion scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Las Vegas Lights let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Birmingham Legion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Birmingham Legion VS Las Vegas Lights
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Birmingham Legion
(Home) 23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 4
Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45:23 | 52 |
| 2 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29:19 | 41 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:31 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:28 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:43 | 30 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 31:69 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39:30 | 43 |
| 3 | Lexington | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46:32 | 40 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 33:22 | 40 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40:37 | 39 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 30:24 | 38 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:28 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35:38 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:46 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
