Sport Picks
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay
USA
USL Championship Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL 
Match Events
42'
42'
Hilton L.
46'
46'
Sub
Hilton L. In: Micaletto M.
Out: Hilton L.
57'
57'
Micaletto M.
Assist: Becker P.
AI Match Summary
Tampa Bay in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tampa Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Birmingham Legion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tampa Bay lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham Legion.
- Birmingham Legion are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 17%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birmingham Legion | Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay
1:4
May 3, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Birmingham Legion
2:2
Sep 12, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay
2:0
May 11, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Birmingham Legion
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Birmingham Legion Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Tampa Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Micaletto M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birmingham Legion 36 / 100
Tampa Bay 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birmingham Legion Tampa Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birmingham Legion scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Birmingham Legion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Tampa Bay conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Birmingham Legion VS Tampa Bay
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Birmingham Legion
(Home) 12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Detroit City
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Detroit City
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
14 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
10 Jun
Birmingham Legion
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 3
Tampa Bay
(Away) 25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3 Tampa Bay
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4 Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3 Tampa Bay
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
06 Jun
Sporting Jax
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
30 May
Louisville City
0 : 2 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)