Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham U18 vs Ipswich U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Reilly C.
Assist: Uchenna D.
36' Event
Reilly C.
Assist: Degtiarev N.
45' Event
Nicolaou S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Birmingham U18 and Ipswich U18 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Birmingham U18
15%
Draws
64%
Ipswich U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ipswich U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ipswich U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ipswich U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • History favors Ipswich U18 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Birmingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Ipswich U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham U18 Ipswich U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.2 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League U18
Birmingham U18 vs Ipswich U18
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League U18
Birmingham U18 vs Ipswich U18
4:3
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League U18
Ipswich U18 vs Birmingham U18
3:0
Mar 24, 2012 Premier League U18
Ipswich U18 vs Birmingham U18
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reilly C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uchenna D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ipswich U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedder I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham U18 10 / 100
Ipswich U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham U18 Ipswich U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipswich U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich U18 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Birmingham U18 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Birmingham U18 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham U18 VS Ipswich U18
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
3.88 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Birmingham U18
0 : 3
West Ham U18
12 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 2
Birmingham U18
05 Sept
Birmingham U18
0 : 3
Ipswich U18
29 Aug
Tottenham U18
8 : 2
Birmingham U18
22 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 4
Chelsea U18
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Brentford U18
3 : 0
Ipswich U18
12 Sept
Ipswich U18
1 : 4
Southampton U18
05 Sept
Birmingham U18
0 : 3
Ipswich U18
29 Aug
Ipswich U18
6 : 2
Bournemouth U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3
Ipswich U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)