Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham U21 vs Hull City U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Henia-Kamau S.
74' Event
Ocaya J.
Assist: Parker H.
82' Event
Parker H.
Assist: Myers Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Hull City U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Birmingham U21
35%
Draws
25%
Hull City U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Birmingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Birmingham U21 haven't matched Hull City U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Birmingham U21's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Hull City U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hull City U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hull City U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Birmingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Hull City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham U21 Hull City U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.6 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Premier League Cup
Birmingham U21 vs Hull City U21
0:3
Sep 2, 2025 Premier League Cup
Hull City U21 vs Birmingham U21
5:1
Feb 7, 2025 Professional Development League
Hull City U21 vs Birmingham U21
5:0
Oct 25, 2024 Professional Development League
Birmingham U21 vs Hull City U21
1:2
Mar 19, 2024 Professional Development League
Hull City U21 vs Birmingham U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hull City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Henia-Kamau S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ocaya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham U21 74 / 100
Hull City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham U21 Hull City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hull City U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Birmingham U21's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Birmingham U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham U21 VS Hull City U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0
Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Gillingham U21
0 : 4
Birmingham U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
31 Aug
Tottenham U21
3 : 3
Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Hull City U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Bristol City U21
4 : 1
Hull City U21
08 Sept
Hull City U21
1 : 1
Brentford U21
01 Sept
Hull City U21
0 : 2
Swansea U21
25 Aug
QPR U21
3 : 3
Hull City U21
14 Aug
Derby U21
1 : 4
Hull City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)