Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham W vs Chatham W

England England

Women’s FA Cup St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hurtre O.
Assist: Holloway R.
32'
Sub
Harrison-Murray C. In: Hopcroft S.
Out: Harrison-Murray C.
46'
Sub
Dunn P. In: O'Shea C.
Out: Dunn P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 8-0. The second leg ended 8-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Birmingham W
15%
Draws
54%
Chatham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Birmingham W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Birmingham W taking it.
  • Birmingham W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Birmingham W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 18%
Chatham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham W Chatham W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Birmingham W vs Chatham W
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtre O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Louis B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Chatham W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham W 36 / 100
Chatham W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham W Chatham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chatham W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Birmingham W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Birmingham W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham W VS Chatham W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham W

(Home)
13 Sept
Birmingham W
2 : 2
Brighton W
06 Sept
Manchester City W
3 : 1
Birmingham W
19 Aug
Birmingham W
0 : 4
Liverpool W
08 Aug
Birmingham W
3 : 1
Valencia W
02 May
Charlton W
0 : 2
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 6

Chatham W

(Away)
21 Feb
Birmingham W
8 : 0
Chatham W
18 Jan
Chatham W
3 : 0
York City W
14 Dec
Sutton W
0 : 3
Chatham W
23 Nov
Exeter W
2 : 3
Chatham W
26 Oct
AFC Wimbledon W
3 : 4
Chatham W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hashtag W 1
Oxford Utd W 2
Luton W 3
Mansfield W 0
Plymouth W 7
Maidstone W 0
Winchester City W 0
Gwalia United W 4
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 0
Northampton W 3
Sudbury W 2
South Shields W 0
AFC Fylde W 5
Kidderminster W 1
Redditch Borough FC W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
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Actonians W 0
Watford W 5
Saltdean United W 1
Bromley W 0
Leafield Athletic W 8
Crusaders W 0
Port Vale W 1
Worcester W 2
Oxford City W 4
Sherborne Town W 2
Swindon W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 0
Dartford W 5
Forest Green W 1
Keynsham Town W 1
Bournemouth Sports W 0
London Bees W 5
Barking W 3
Portishead Town W 1
Billericay W 0
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 4
Wythenshawe FC W 2
Leeds W 5
St Helens W 1
Solihull Moors W 0
West Brom W 3
Nottingham University W 1
Cambridge Utd W 2
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 3
International Soccer Academy W 2
Durham Cestria W 6
Dronfield Town W 1
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Stourbridge W 3
Halifax W 1
Hull City W 4
Birmingham W -
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Sporting Khalsa W 2
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Hednesford W 2
SJR Worksop W 1
Bowers & Pitsea W 3
Wimborne W 2
Brentford W 1
Sutton W 2
Torquay W 0
Exeter W 6
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Chatham W 4
Bolton W 1
Ponteland United W 2
Penrith W 2
Altrincham W 3
York City W 1
Leeds Modernians W 0
Wroxham W 3
Lye Town W 0
Farnham W 0
Leyton Orient W 8
Millbrook W 0
Bournemouth W 11
Haringey Borough W 0
Bristol Rovers W 3
Fulham W 5
South London W 0
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 6
Gloucester City W 2
Worthing FC W 4
Abingdon W 1
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Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Millwall W 0
Cheltenham W 2
Lewes W 4
Corsham Town W 0
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Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 12
Blackburn W 0
Stevenage W 3
Norwich W 4
Peterborough W 4
Real Bedford W 1
Manchester Laces W 1
Wallsend W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 0
Derby W 6
Stockport W 3
Tranmere W 0
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Wycombe W 1
Bridgwater United W 2
Royston Town W 1
Coundon Court W 0
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Liverpool Feds W 4
Chester-Le-Street Town W 0
Crewe W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 2
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Rugby Borough W 1
Stoke City LFC W 7
Sutton Coldfield Town W 0
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Nottingham W -
1/64-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Luton W 1
Plymouth W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
Northampton W 0
AFC Fylde W 4
Kidderminster W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
Watford W 4
Saltdean United W 0
Leafield Athletic W 2
Worcester W 1
Oxford City W 0
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
London Bees W 5
Portishead Town W 0
TBD -
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 1
Leeds W 3
West Brom W 2
Cambridge Utd W 0
TBD -
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 2
Durham Cestria W 1
Stourbridge W 1
Hull City W 7
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Hednesford W 0
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Sutton W 3
Exeter W 2
Chatham W 3
Ponteland United W 0
Altrincham W 1
York City W 3
Wroxham W 1
Leyton Orient W 1
Bournemouth W 7
Bristol Rovers W 1
Fulham W 3
TBD -
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 4
Worthing FC W 1
TBD -
Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Cheltenham W 0
Lewes W 4
TBD -
Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 4
Norwich W 0
Peterborough W 4
Wallsend W 0
Derby W 4
Stockport W 1
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Bridgwater United W 1
Royston Town W 2
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Liverpool Feds W 5
Boldmere St Michaels W 0
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Stoke City LFC W 0
TBD -
Nottingham W -
1/32-finals
Oxford Utd W 2
Plymouth W 1
Middlesbrough W 3
AFC Fylde W 0
Charlton W 3
Watford W 2
Leafield Athletic W 2
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
London Bees W 3
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Leeds W 0
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 1
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Sporting Khalsa W 0
Sutton W 0
Chatham W 3
Altrincham W 0
York City W 3
Bournemouth W 5
Fulham W 0
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 0
Ipswich W 5
Durham W 0
Sheffield Utd W 1
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Lewes W 0
Crystal Palace W 1
Manchester United W -
TBD -
Burnley W 7
Peterborough W 0
Derby W 1
Sunderland W 5
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W 10
Royston Town W 0
Bristol City W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Liverpool Feds W 0
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 1
Nottingham W 2
1/16-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Middlesbrough W 1
Charlton W 10
Swindon W 0
London Bees W 0
Liverpool W 6
West Brom W 0
Everton W 5
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Chatham W 3
York City W 0
Bournemouth W 0
Manchester City W 6
Ipswich W 1
Sheffield Utd W 2
Chelsea W 5
Crystal Palace W 0
Manchester United W 5
Burnley W 0
Sunderland W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Tottenham W 3
Leicester W 0
Arsenal W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
West Ham W 3
Brighton W 2
Nottingham W 0
1/8-finals
Oxford Utd W 0
Charlton W 1
Liverpool W 2
Everton W 1
Birmingham W 8
Chatham W 0
Manchester City W 4
Sheffield Utd W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester United W 1
London City Lionesses W 2
Tottenham W 3
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0
West Ham W 1
Brighton W 2
Quarter-finals
Charlton W 0
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 0
Brighton W 2
Chelsea W 2
Tottenham W 1
Birmingham W 0
Manchester City W 1
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 2
Brighton W 3
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Final
Brighton W 0
Manchester City W 4