Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham W vs Manchester City W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Women’s FA Cup St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Shaw K.
Assist: Beney I.
62'
Sub
Lee Geum-Min In: Sarri V.
Out: Lee Geum-Min
64'
Sub
Coombs L. In: Kerolin
Out: Coombs L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Birmingham W
30%
Draws
61%
Manchester City W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manchester City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Manchester City W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Manchester City W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Manchester City W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Manchester City W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Manchester City W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester City W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham W Manchester City W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.21 2.89
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 WSL
Manchester City W vs Birmingham W
3:1
Apr 6, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Birmingham W vs Manchester City W
0:1
May 4, 2022 WSL
Manchester City W vs Birmingham W
6:0
Dec 12, 2021 WSL
Birmingham W vs Manchester City W
2:3
May 2, 2021 WSL
Manchester City W vs Birmingham W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Manchester City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham W 10 / 100
Manchester City W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham W Manchester City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Birmingham W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Manchester City W conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Birmingham W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham W VS Manchester City W
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham W

(Home)
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
13 Sept
Birmingham W
2 : 2
Brighton W
06 Sept
Manchester City W
3 : 1
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 6

Manchester City W

(Away)
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1
Manchester City W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Liverpool W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4
Manchester City W
06 Sept
Manchester City W
3 : 1
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hashtag W 1
Oxford Utd W 2
Luton W 3
Mansfield W 0
Plymouth W 7
Maidstone W 0
Winchester City W 0
Gwalia United W 4
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 0
Northampton W 3
Sudbury W 2
South Shields W 0
AFC Fylde W 5
Kidderminster W 1
Redditch Borough FC W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Actonians W 0
Watford W 5
Saltdean United W 1
Bromley W 0
Leafield Athletic W 8
Crusaders W 0
Port Vale W 1
Worcester W 2
Oxford City W 4
Sherborne Town W 2
Swindon W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 0
Dartford W 5
Forest Green W 1
Keynsham Town W 1
Bournemouth Sports W 0
London Bees W 5
Barking W 3
Portishead Town W 1
Billericay W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 4
Wythenshawe FC W 2
Leeds W 5
St Helens W 1
Solihull Moors W 0
West Brom W 3
Nottingham University W 1
Cambridge Utd W 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 3
International Soccer Academy W 2
Durham Cestria W 6
Dronfield Town W 1
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Stourbridge W 3
Halifax W 1
Hull City W 4
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Hednesford W 2
SJR Worksop W 1
Bowers & Pitsea W 3
Wimborne W 2
Brentford W 1
Sutton W 2
Torquay W 0
Exeter W 6
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Chatham W 4
Bolton W 1
Ponteland United W 2
Penrith W 2
Altrincham W 3
York City W 1
Leeds Modernians W 0
Wroxham W 3
Lye Town W 0
Farnham W 0
Leyton Orient W 8
Millbrook W 0
Bournemouth W 11
Haringey Borough W 0
Bristol Rovers W 3
Fulham W 5
South London W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 6
Gloucester City W 2
Worthing FC W 4
Abingdon W 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ipswich W -
Durham W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall W 0
Cheltenham W 2
Lewes W 4
Corsham Town W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burnley W 12
Blackburn W 0
Stevenage W 3
Norwich W 4
Peterborough W 4
Real Bedford W 1
Manchester Laces W 1
Wallsend W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 0
Derby W 6
Stockport W 3
Tranmere W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wycombe W 1
Bridgwater United W 2
Royston Town W 1
Coundon Court W 0
Bristol City W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool Feds W 4
Chester-Le-Street Town W 0
Crewe W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 2
Rugby Borough W 1
Stoke City LFC W 7
Sutton Coldfield Town W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham W -
1/64-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Luton W 1
Plymouth W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
Northampton W 0
AFC Fylde W 4
Kidderminster W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
Watford W 4
Saltdean United W 0
Leafield Athletic W 2
Worcester W 1
Oxford City W 0
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
London Bees W 5
Portishead Town W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 1
Leeds W 3
West Brom W 2
Cambridge Utd W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 2
Durham Cestria W 1
Stourbridge W 1
Hull City W 7
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Hednesford W 0
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Sutton W 3
Exeter W 2
Chatham W 3
Ponteland United W 0
Altrincham W 1
York City W 3
Wroxham W 1
Leyton Orient W 1
Bournemouth W 7
Bristol Rovers W 1
Fulham W 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 4
Worthing FC W 1
TBD -
Ipswich W -
Durham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheltenham W 0
Lewes W 4
TBD -
Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burnley W 4
Norwich W 0
Peterborough W 4
Wallsend W 0
Derby W 4
Stockport W 1
TBD -
Sunderland W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
TBD -
Bridgwater United W 1
Royston Town W 2
Bristol City W -
TBD -
TBD -
Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
TBD -
Liverpool Feds W 5
Boldmere St Michaels W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 2
Stoke City LFC W 0
TBD -
Nottingham W -
1/32-finals
Oxford Utd W 2
Plymouth W 1
Middlesbrough W 3
AFC Fylde W 0
Charlton W 3
Watford W 2
Leafield Athletic W 2
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
London Bees W 3
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Leeds W 0
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 1
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Sporting Khalsa W 0
Sutton W 0
Chatham W 3
Altrincham W 0
York City W 3
Bournemouth W 5
Fulham W 0
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 0
Ipswich W 5
Durham W 0
Sheffield Utd W 1
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Lewes W 0
Crystal Palace W 1
Manchester United W -
TBD -
Burnley W 7
Peterborough W 0
Derby W 1
Sunderland W 5
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W 10
Royston Town W 0
Bristol City W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Liverpool Feds W 0
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 1
Nottingham W 2
1/16-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Middlesbrough W 1
Charlton W 10
Swindon W 0
London Bees W 0
Liverpool W 6
West Brom W 0
Everton W 5
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Chatham W 3
York City W 0
Bournemouth W 0
Manchester City W 6
Ipswich W 1
Sheffield Utd W 2
Chelsea W 5
Crystal Palace W 0
Manchester United W 5
Burnley W 0
Sunderland W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Tottenham W 3
Leicester W 0
Arsenal W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
West Ham W 3
Brighton W 2
Nottingham W 0
1/8-finals
Oxford Utd W 0
Charlton W 1
Liverpool W 2
Everton W 1
Birmingham W 8
Chatham W 0
Manchester City W 4
Sheffield Utd W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester United W 1
London City Lionesses W 2
Tottenham W 3
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0
West Ham W 1
Brighton W 2
Quarter-finals
Charlton W 0
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 0
Brighton W 2
Chelsea W 2
Tottenham W 1
Birmingham W 0
Manchester City W 1
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 2
Brighton W 3
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Final
Brighton W 0
Manchester City W 4