Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bisceglie vs Nocerina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Hernaiz Daschner L.
37' Event
Taccogna F.
53' Event
Pinto N.

AI Match Summary

Bisceglie in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bisceglie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bisceglie
15%
Draws
39%
Nocerina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bisceglie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nocerina lately — more wins on the board than Bisceglie.
  • Win probability leans Bisceglie's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bisceglie Clean Sheet 20%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bisceglie Nocerina
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 13
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 0.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Nocerina
3:1
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Bisceglie
0:0
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Nocerina
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Bisceglie
0:1
Dec 11, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Nocerina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bisceglie Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernaiz Daschner L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taccogna F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

Nocerina Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardella F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bisceglie 67 / 100
Nocerina 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bisceglie Nocerina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bisceglie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bisceglie found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Nocerina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.

Bisceglie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bisceglie VS Nocerina
1.6 Goals Scored 0.38
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.38
80% Over 1.5 25%
60% Over 2.5 0%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bisceglie

(Home)
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
22 May
Bisceglie
4 : 0
SS Nola 1925
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Nocerina

(Away)
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0
Gelbison
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Bisceglie 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Gravina 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
4 Turris 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Real Normanna 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Real Forio 2014 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Nocerina 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
8 Martina Calcio 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
9 San Felice Gladiator 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
10 Manfredonia 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
11 A.C.D. Nardo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Palmese 1914 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Melfi 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
14 Ebolitana 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
15 Francavilla 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
16 Brindisi 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
17 Ischia 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 Fidelis Andria 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)