Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bistra vs Lok. Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kukec T.
29' Event
Aliyu I.
55' Event
Tuci I.

AI Match Summary

Lok. Zagreb in this Croatian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bistra
15%
Draws
26%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lok. Zagreb have won more games recently than Bistra.
  • Win probability leans Bistra's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Lok. Zagreb arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lok. Zagreb, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bistra Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistra Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2022 Croatian Cup
Bistra vs Lok. Zagreb
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bistra Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukec T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulenovic S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aliyu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistra 42 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistra Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bistra scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Lok. Zagreb has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Bistra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lok. Zagreb
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistra

(Home)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
21 Aug
Rudes
4 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
15 Aug
Osijek
1 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Belisce 3
BSK Buk 0
Bijelo Brdo 5
Marsonia 1
Moslavina 3
Medjimurje 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vuteks Sloga 1
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
Radnik Krizevci 1
Dubrava Zagreb 3
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bjelovar 1
Gaj Mace 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Bistra 2
Vodice 1
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
RNK Split -
TBD -
TBD -
Cibalia -
Slavonac Bukovlje 0
Borinci 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Nedelisce 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
TBD -
Zapresic -
Solin 6
Funtana 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sava Strmec 4
Bednja Beletinec 6
TBD -
Rudes -
Neretva 0
Grobnican 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Nehaj Senj 0
Primorac Biograd 4
TBD -
Varazdin -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Karlovac 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Virovitica 0
Mladost Zdralovi 6
TBD -
Oriolik -
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 4
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
1/16-finals
Belisce 1
Bijelo Brdo 5
Moslavina 1
Rijeka 2
Jadran Porec 1
Sibenik 2
Dubrava Zagreb 2
HNK Gorica 3
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Bistra 1
Lok. Zagreb 6
RNK Split 2
Cibalia 0
Borinci 0
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Nedelisce 3
Zapresic 0
Solin 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rudes 3
Grobnican 1
Istra 1961 2
Primorac Biograd 1
Varazdin 4
Papuk Orahovica 0
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 6
Oriolik 0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 1
Hajduk Split 5
1/8-finals
Bijelo Brdo 2
Rijeka 1
Sibenik 2
HNK Gorica 0
Bjelovar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
RNK Split 1
Din. Zagreb 3
NK Nedelisce 0
Slaven Belupo 6
Rudes 2
Istra 1961 1
Varazdin 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 2
Quarter-finals
Bijelo Brdo 0
Sibenik 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slaven Belupo 2
Rudes 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 2
Semi-finals
Sibenik 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Final
Sibenik 0
Hajduk Split 2