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Bistritsa vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Ihtiman in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bistritsa
6%
Draws
90%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Bistritsa's 0.
  • Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Botev Ihtiman have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistritsa Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:1
Jun 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 10 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistritsa Botev Ihtiman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IHT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Ihtiman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bistritsa's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Botev Ihtiman's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistritsa VS Botev Ihtiman
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238