Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Bistritsa Stadium

Slavia Sofia 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bistritsa play Slavia Sofia 2 in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bistritsa averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2 conceded. Slavia Sofia 2 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Bistritsa won 1, Slavia Sofia 2 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Bistritsa and 2.63 for Slavia Sofia 2. This points to a Slavia Sofia 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Bistritsa

15%

Draws

52%

Slavia Sofia 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slavia Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Bistritsa picked up more points recently compared to Slavia Sofia 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 2.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Slavia Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bistritsa	Slavia Sofia 2
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	15
Draws	2	5
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	1.22	2.07
Goals Conceded	2	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West

Bistritsa vs Slavia Sofia 2

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Oct 22, 2025 Third League - South-West

Slavia Sofia 2 vs Bistritsa

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Apr 26, 2025 Third League - South-West

Bistritsa vs Slavia Sofia 2

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Oct 5, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slavia Sofia 2 vs Bistritsa

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Mar 16, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slavia Sofia 2 vs Bistritsa

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 32 / 100

Slavia Sofia 2 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bistritsa Slavia Sofia 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slavia Sofia 2 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bistritsa attacking → ← attacking Slavia Sofia 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Slavia Sofia 2 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bistritsa went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Slavia Sofia 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 50

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38