Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bitburg vs Morlautern

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Burger F.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Muller P.
60' Event
Kirch T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024 game between Bitburg and Morlautern finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morlautern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bitburg
20%
Draws
32%
Morlautern
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bitburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Bitburg haven't matched Morlautern's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Morlautern a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bitburg Clean Sheet 10%
Morlautern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitburg Morlautern
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 1.07 1.49
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Bitburg vs Morlautern
1:2
Sep 20, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Morlautern vs Bitburg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bitburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Morlautern Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirch T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitburg 26 / 100
Morlautern 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitburg Morlautern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morlautern Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morlautern let in goals in 97% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Bitburg's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Morlautern's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bitburg VS Morlautern
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 3.38
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitburg

(Home)
17 Jul
Bitburg
0 : 3
Eintracht Trier
07 Feb
Bitburg
0 : 6
Eintracht Trier
23 May
Kaiserslautern II
4 : 3
Bitburg
18 May
Bitburg
3 : 1
SpVgg Quierschied
12 May
Cosmos Koblenz
2 : 0
Bitburg
Page 1 of 6

Morlautern

(Away)
31 May
Morlautern
3 : 3
Eisbachtal
17 May
Morlautern
0 : 3
Karbach
14 May
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
3 : 0
Morlautern
10 May
Auersmacher
4 : 0
Morlautern
03 May
Diefflen
1 : 1
Morlautern
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Trier 38 32 3 3 115:34 99
2 Gonsenheim 38 24 6 8 96:48 78
3 Pirmasens 38 22 6 10 92:46 72
4 Kaiserslautern II 38 20 8 10 89:66 68
5 Worms 38 19 9 10 74:51 66
6 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 38 19 4 15 72:58 61
7 Auersmacher 38 19 4 15 64:65 61
8 Morlautern 38 16 10 12 65:68 58
9 Diefflen 38 17 4 17 77:82 55
10 Engers 38 15 9 14 78:65 54
11 Arminia Ludwigshafen 38 14 9 15 63:81 51
12 Karbach 38 16 3 19 70:93 51
13 Mechtersheim 38 12 12 14 67:58 48
14 Cosmos Koblenz 38 13 8 17 72:67 47
15 Waldalgesheim 38 11 11 16 43:62 44
16 Dudenhofen 38 11 9 18 59:66 42
17 Baumholder 38 9 8 21 56:83 35
18 SpVgg Quierschied 38 7 9 22 40:81 30
19 Pfeddersheim 38 9 3 26 46:102 30
20 Bitburg 38 5 5 28 49:111 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)