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Bitlis 1916 vs Malatya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bitlis 1916 host Malatya in the 3. Lig Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bitlis 1916 have averaged 3 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Malatya's 2.06 scored and 0.94 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.06, favoring Bitlis 1916. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bitlis 1916
15%
Draws
47%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bitlis 1916 haven't matched Malatya's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Malatya taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bitlis 1916 Clean Sheet 20%
Malatya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitlis 1916 Malatya
Matches Played 8 33
Wins 6 20
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 3 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitlis 1916 12 / 100
Malatya 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitlis 1916 Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bitlis 1916 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (8 games).

Malatya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Bitlis 1916 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bitlis 1916 VS Malatya
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitlis 1916

(Home)
06 Oct
Bitlis 1916
6 : 0
Silifke
03 Oct
Bitlis 1916
5 : 0
Adana Adaletgucu
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Bitlis 1916
3 : 1
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Karaman FK
0 : 3
Bitlis 1916
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Malatya

(Away)
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)